I Thought Interest Rates Were Going Up – What Happened?
On March 15, 2017, the Federal Reserve increased interest rates for just the third time since the financial crisis in 2008-2009. Investment theory tells us when interest rates rise, bond prices fall, so rising interest rates are bad for bond returns. However, bonds have performed well since the Fed raised rates a few weeks ago… […]
Market Timing – A Losing Game
The stock market crash of 2008-2009 is a very recent memory for many investors who still bear the scars from the experience. At Rockbridge, we also have prospective clients who walk into our offices saying that they haven’t recovered yet from the financial pain their portfolio endured over those several months. Why? It’s usually a […]
Market Commentary – January 2017
Stock Markets While markets were down early in the quarter, most, but not all, have bounced back since the Election with small company stocks and value stocks leading the way. Stocks traded in international markets and emerging markets have not fared as well in this period, reflecting a strengthening of the dollar. This means a […]
Post-Election Reflections
Whether you find the election results exciting or shocking, we are now faced with the question, “What’s next?” With respect to your investments, here’s a quick reminder of how we feel about that: Ample evidence informs us that it is unwise to alter your long-term investment strategy in reaction to breaking news, no matter how […]
Market Commentary – October 2016
Stock Markets It was a pretty good quarter for stocks, with the riskier small-cap and emerging market stocks leading the way. REIT’s gave back some of their robust returns of prior periods. The year-to-date numbers for stocks are solid as well. The riskier markets have done better this quarter, which is consistent with an increased […]
Can Index Funds Become Too Popular?
Once Upon a Time… When we started an investment advisory firm in 1991, it seemed obvious to Bob Ryan and me that structuring portfolios by focusing on asset allocation was superior to the stock picking culture of the day. The ability to implement the strategy with low-cost index funds was still a new innovation, and […]
Presidents, Politics and Your Portfolio: Thinking Beyond Stage One
It’s no surprise that this year’s U.S. presidential race has become a subject of conversation around the globe. In “Why Our Social Feeds are Full of Politics,” Canadian digital marketing executive Tara Hunt observes, “American politics, it seems, makes for high-intensity emotions far and wide.” The intensity will probably only increase as the November 8 […]
Market Commentary July 2016
Stock Markets Just look at the short-term variability in the various equity indices shown in the accompanying chart. It shows how markets behave through time – some markets are up substantially while others are down. Of course, this variability is reduced by holding a commitment to each, but it means periodically enduring down markets while […]
Brexit Votes and Market Outcomes
Believe me, we get it. After yesterday’s Brexit referendum and its startling outcome, it’s hard to view today’s news without feeling your stomach twist over what in the world is going on. Whenever the markets scream bloody murder, your instincts deliver a sense of unrest ranging from discontent to desperation. Financial author Larry Swedroe has […]
Tempted to Trust Your Gut? – Another Reason to Commit to a Disciplined Strategy
“The three worst words of stock market advice: Trust Your Gut.” That was the headline of a recent article by Jason Zweig in The Wall Street Journal, reporting on a new academic study. Dr. Robert Shiller of Yale, who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 2013, has been surveying investors about their expectations since […]